اخبار و اعلانات

 آمار

تعداد نشریات31
تعداد شماره‌ها834
تعداد مقالات8,015
تعداد مشاهده مقاله14,852,914
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله9,586,822
Mohseni, Reza, Bazvand, Maryam, Adeli, Kamran. (1404). Estimation of Recycled Paper Demand Function in Iran: Cointegration Approach. نشریه علمی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان, 17(2), 29-46. doi: 10.22111/ijbds.2025.52949.2274
Reza Mohseni; Maryam Bazvand; Kamran Adeli. "Estimation of Recycled Paper Demand Function in Iran: Cointegration Approach". نشریه علمی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان, 17, 2, 1404, 29-46. doi: 10.22111/ijbds.2025.52949.2274
Mohseni, Reza, Bazvand, Maryam, Adeli, Kamran. (1404). 'Estimation of Recycled Paper Demand Function in Iran: Cointegration Approach', نشریه علمی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان, 17(2), pp. 29-46. doi: 10.22111/ijbds.2025.52949.2274
Mohseni, Reza, Bazvand, Maryam, Adeli, Kamran. Estimation of Recycled Paper Demand Function in Iran: Cointegration Approach. نشریه علمی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان, 1404; 17(2): 29-46. doi: 10.22111/ijbds.2025.52949.2274

Estimation of Recycled Paper Demand Function in Iran: Cointegration Approach

International Journal of Business and Development Studies
مقاله 2، دوره 17، شماره 2، دی 2025، صفحه 29-46    اصل مقاله (1.04 M)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22111/ijbds.2025.52949.2274
نویسندگان
Reza Mohseni* 1؛ Maryam Bazvand2؛ Kamran Adeli3
1Faculty Member of Economics of Policy, Shahid Beheshti University
2PhD in Forest Economics and Management, Faculty of Natural Resources, Lorestan University
3Faculty of Humanities, University of Amsterdam. Netherlands
چکیده
This study aims to estimate the demand function for recycled paper in the Iranian economy during the seasonal period of 2000 to 2021. The Johansen-Juselius cointegration method was used to identify the factors influencing demand in both the long and short term. Quarterly data were generated from annual figures using the Denton method, and the model was specified in a linear logarithmic form.
The model’s variables include per capita consumption of recycled paper, its price, the price of virgin paper, the percentage of internet users, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). A dummy variable was also included to account for the removal of the import tariff in 2018. The results indicate that recycled paper is a necessary and inelastic good. In the long term, it becomes an inferior good, meaning that as income and welfare increase, consumers and producers shift towards higher-quality virgin paper.
In the short term, demand is influenced by changes in GDP, the price of recycled paper, and the internet. The price elasticity of demand is very low (0.012%), suggesting that price changes have a negligible impact on the quantity demanded. The error correction model (ECM) coefficient of -0.51 indicates that half of the short-term disequilibrium is corrected in each period.
These findings emphasize the importance of government policies in encouraging recycling and managing the market. Given Iran's limited forest resources, focusing on this sector can contribute to economic and environmental sustainability. Future research could explore the impact of tax and subsidy policies on the paper recycling industry.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Demand function؛ GDP؛ Iran؛ Recycled paper؛ VAR model
مراجع
References

  1. Chas-Amil, M. L and Buongiorno, J., (2000), The demand for paper and paperboard: econometric models for the European Union. https://doi.org/10.1080/000368400322048.
  2. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OFTHEUNITED NATIONS (2007) Recovered paper data 2006. Room
  3. Filistrucchi, L., (2005) The Impact of Internet on the Market for Daily Newspapers in Italy. EUI ECO Working Paper Series ECO 12-2005.
  4. Ghatak, S and Siddiki, J. U., (2001) The use of the ARDL approach in estimating virtual exchange rates in India. Journal of Applied statistics, 28(5), 573-583.
  5. Greg S, et al (2016) The effects of internet use on global demand for paper products. Journal of Forestry, Volume 114, Issue 4, 1 July 2016, Pages 433–440, https://doi.org/10.5849/jof.15-096.
  6. Hetemaki, L., and Hurmekoski, E., (2017). Forest products markets under change: review and research implications. Current Forestry Reports, 2(3), 188-177.
  7. Hujala, M (2011) the role of information and communication technolgies in paper consumption. International jorna of business information systems.Vol.7, No.2:121-135. Doi: https:// doi.org/10.1504/IJBIS.2011.038507.
  8. Johnston, C. M. , (2016) Global paper market forecasts to 2030 under future internet demand scenarios. Johnston Journal of Forest Economics journal homepage:www.elsevier.com/locate/jfe.
  9. Jing G, Saleem A, Ming, X., (2023) Recycling is not enough to make the world a greener place: Prospects for the circular economy. Green Carbon. Volume 1, Issue 2, December 2023, Pages 150-153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.greenca.2023.10.006.
  10. Katpatal, A., Tandulkar, D., Kularkar, A., Mandpe, A and Paliya, S., (2024) Chapter 3 - Accumulation, processing, and destruction of waste: environmental toxicities, levels, and assessment method. Advances in Energy from waste. doi:10.1016/B978-0-443-13847-8.00003-8.
  11. Kong, F., Lu., (2021) Research on online shopping packaging recycling strategy under big data environment. Journal of physics: conference series.doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1883/1/012153.
  12. Latta, G. S., Andrew, J., Plantinga, Matthew, R and Sloggy, J., (2015) The Effects of Internet Use on Global Demand for Paper Products. For 114 (4): 433-440 http://dx.doi.org/10.5849/jof .15-096 Copyright © 2015 Society of American Foresters.
  13. Ma Y, Wang J, Zhang Y. TG-FTIR. (2017). study on pyrolysis of waste printing paper. J Therm Anal Calorim. 129: 25-32. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/ 10.1007 s10973-017-6218-3.
  14. Marković G V, Mihić M M (2022) Strategic Turnaround in the Paper Industry: A New Model for the Procurement of Recycled Paper. Sustainability, 14, 1475. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031475.
  15. Min D, Mingxing S, et al (2023) Advancing sustainability in China's pulp and paper industry requires coordinated raw material supply and waste paper management. Resources, Conservation and Recycling. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.107162.
  16. Pahlavani M, Wilson E and Worthington A C (2005) Trade-GDP nexus in Iran: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model.
  17. Sembiring N, Napitupulu H L, sembiring M T, Sipahutar and Tarigan C A (2021) Eucalyptus plantation and its integrated supply chain in pulp and paper mill. 3rd International Conference on Natural Resources and Technology.
  18. Kumar Pati N, Vrat P and Kumar P (2006) Economic analysis of paper recycling vis-a`-vis wood as raw material. J. Production Economics 103 (2006) 489–508.
  19. Ren, G., Zhu, Z., Zhang, J., Zhao, H., Li, Y and Han, J., (2020) Broadband terahertz spectroscopy of paper and banknotes. Opt Commun; 475: 126267. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.optcom.2020.126267
  20. Shorgen, R., Wood, D., Orts, W and Glenn, G., (2019) Plant-based materials and transtioning to a circular economy. Sustainable production and consumption. Volume 19, pp 194-215.
  21. Van Ewijk, S., Stegemann, J. A and Ekins, P., (2018) Global life cycle paper flows, recycling metrics, and material efficiency. J. lad. Ecol. 22 (4). 686-693.
  22. Zhao, Z., Deng, J., Tae, H., Shaeudin Ibrahim, M., Suresh, S and Cho N-J., (2022) Recyclable and reuable natural plant-based paper for repeated digital prenting and unprinting. Advanced materials. DOI: 10.1002/adma.202109367.
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 270
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 48


سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. طراحی و پیاده سازی از سیناوب