تعداد نشریات | 26 |
تعداد شمارهها | 550 |
تعداد مقالات | 5,698 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 7,963,618 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 5,347,385 |
PRICING STOCKS BY USING FUZZY DIVIDEND DISCOUNT MODELS | ||
Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems | ||
مقاله 5، دوره 9، شماره 3، تابستان 2012، صفحه 61-78 اصل مقاله (516.19 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22111/ijfs.2012.147 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
Huei-Wen Lin ![]() | ||
1Department of Finance and Banking, Aletheia University, 32 Chen-Li Street, 25103, New Taipei City, Taiwan (R.O.C.) | ||
2Department of Mathematics, National Taiwan University, No.1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Rd., Taipei City 106, Taiwan (R.O.C.) | ||
چکیده | ||
Although the classical dividend discount model (DDM) is a wellknown and widely used model in evaluating the intrinsic price of common stock, the practical pattern of dividends, required rate of return or growth rate of dividend do not generally coincide with any of the model’s assumptions. It is just the opportunity to develop a fuzzy logic system that takes these vague parameters into account. This paper extends the classical DDMs to more realistic fuzzy pricing models in which the inherent imprecise information will be fuzzified as triangular fuzzy numbers, and introduces a novel -signed distance method to defuzzify these fuzzy parameters without considering the membership functions. Through the conscientious mathematical derivation, the fuzzy dividend discount models (FDDMs) proposed in this paper can be regarded as one more explicit extension of the classical (crisp) DDMs, so that stockholders can use it to make a specific analysis and insight into the intrinsic value of stock. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
Fuzzy set؛ Pricing stock؛ Dividend discount model (DDM)؛ $l$-signed distance method؛ Uniform convergence | ||
مراجع | ||
[1] L. Brand, Advance calculus: an introduction to classical analysis, New York, 1955. [2] E. F. Brigham, Fundamentals of nancial management, The Dryden Press, New York, 1992. [3] J. J. Buckley, The fuzzy mathematics of nance, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 21 (1987), 257-273. [4] H. Dourra and P. Siy, Investment using technical analysis and fuzzy logic, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 127 (2002), 221-240. [5] M. J. Gordon, The investment, nancing, and valuation of the corporation, Homewood, Illinois: Richard D. Irwin, 1962. [6] W. J. Hurley and L. D. Johnson, A realistic dividend valuation model, Financial Analysts Journal, July-August(1994), 50-54. [7] A. Kaufmann and M. M. Gupta, Introduction to fuzzy arithmetic: theory and applications, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, 1991. [8] D. Kuchta, Fuzzy capital budgeting, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 111 (2000), 367-385. [9] R. J. Kuo, C. H. Chen and Y. C. Hwang, An intelligent stock trading decision support system through integration of genetic algorithm based fuzzy neural network and articial neural network, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 118 (2001), 21-45. [10] M. L. Leibowitz and S. Kogelman, The growth illusion: the P/E 'cost' of earnings growth, Financial Analysts journal, March-April(1994), 36-48. [11] M. Li Calzi, Towards a general setting for the fuzzy mathematics of nance, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 35 (1990), 265-280. [12] P. Liang and F. Song, Computer-aided risk evaluation system for capital investment, Omega, 22(4) (1994), 391-400. [13] A. Maturo, On some structures of fuzzy numbers, Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 6(4) (2009), 49-59. [14] P. M . Pu and Y. M . Liu, Fuzzy topology 1, neighborhood structure of a fuzzy point and Moore-smith convergence, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 76 (1980), 571-599. [15] W. F. Sharpe, G. J . Alexander and J. V. Bailey, Investments, Englewood Cliffs Prentice-Hall Inc., 1999. [16] R. J. Shiller, Do stock prices move too much to be justied by subsequent change in dividends? American Economic Review, 71 (1981), 421-436. [17] A. K. Shyamal and M. Pal, Triangular fuzzy matrices, Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 4(1) (2007), 75-87. [18] R. Viertl and D. Hareter, Fuzzy information and stochastics, Iranian Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 1(1) (2004), 43-56. [19] Y. F. Wang, Predicting stock price using fuzzy grey prediction system, Expert Systems with Applications, 22 (2002), 33-39. [20] Y. F. Wang, Mining stock price using fuzzy rough set system, Expert Systems with Applications, 24 (2003), 13-23. [21] J. S. Yao and K. M. Wu, Ranking fuzzy numbers based on decomposition principle and signed distance, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 116 (2000), 275-288. [22] R. Zhao and R. Govind, Defuzzication of fuzzy intervals, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 43 (1991), 45-55. | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 2,607 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 1,402 |