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اثرگذاری امنیت سیاسی و ثبات دولتها بر جذب سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی: اقتصادسنجی فضایی | ||
اقتصاد باثبات | ||
مقاله 5، دوره 2، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 3، شهریور 1400، صفحه 109-142 اصل مقاله (1.21 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22111/sedj.2021.39453.1122 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
زینت نیکدل ![]() | ||
1چابهار دانشگاه بین المللی چابهار | ||
2عضو هیات علمی دانشگاه دریانوردی و علوم دریایی چابهار | ||
3اداره مالیات و دارایی | ||
چکیده | ||
ضرورت وجود امنیت و ثبات در کشورها و مناطق مختلف جهان به عنوان بستر مناسبی برای گسترش همکاریهای اقتصادی و سرمایهگذاری بین کشورها و عاملی مهم برای جذب سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی است. در مطالعه حاضر با استفاده از دادههای 66 کشور و روش اقتصادسنجی فضایی در بازه زمانی 2016-1990 به مطالعه تأثیر امنیت سیاسی بر جذب سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی پرداخته میشود. بهترین مدل برای تفسیر نتایج مدل دوربین فضایی بوده که نتایج حاصل از برآوردها نشان میدهد متغیرهای تولید ناخالص داخلی، درجه باز بودن اقتصادی و ثبات دولتها اثر مثبت و معنادار و متغیرهای نرخ ارز و تورم اثر منفی و معنادار بر جذب سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی داشتهاند. همچنین اثر سرریز متغیر نرخ ارز منفی و معنادار و اثرات سرریز متغیر درجه باز بودن اقتصادی و ثبات دولتها نیز مثبت و معنادار بودهاند. نتایج حاصل از مطالعه بیانگر آن است که برقراری امنیت سیاسی عاملی مهم در جذب سرمایهگذاری خارجی بوده و کشورها میتوانند با برقراری امنیت سیاسی، موفقیت بیشتری در جذب سرمایههای خارجی داشته باشند. از سویی دیگر اثر سرریز امنیت سیاسی نشان میدهد هر چه منطقهای که کشورها در آن واقع هستند، از امنیت بیشتری برخوردار باشد، تمایل سرمایهگذاران برای حضور در این کشورها و سرمایهگذاری بیشتر است و این عامل یکی از فاکتورهای مهم و اثرگذار بر جریان سرمایهگذاری است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی؛ امنیت سیاسی؛ ثبات دولتها؛ اقتصادسنجی فضایی پانل دیتا | ||
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