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کووید 19، قیمت نفت و عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری در ایران | ||
| اقتصاد باثبات | ||
| دوره 1، شماره 1، اسفند 1399، صفحه 107-130 اصل مقاله (1.26 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مطالعه موردی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22111/sedj.2021.37415.1110 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| پروانه کمالی دهکردی* 1؛ فرشته عبدالهی2؛ عبدالخالق غبیشاوی3 | ||
| 1استادیار گروه اقتصاد؛ دانشکده اقتصاد- حسابداری و مدیریت؛ دانشگاه پیام نور مرکز شهرکرد | ||
| 2کارشناسی ارشد توسعه اقتصادی و برنامه ریزی، گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه علوم تحقیقات خوزستان، ایران | ||
| 3کارشناسی ارشد توسعه اقتصادی و برنامه ریزی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد اهواز، اهواز، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| چکیده انتشار سریع بیماری همه گیر کووید 19 شوکی را در اقتصاد همه کشورها ایجاد کرده است .این شوک موجبات رکود در اغلب فعالیتهای اقتصادی شده است .البته عمق رکود اقتصادی جدید به واکنش سیاست ها به بحران ویروس کرونا بستگی خواهد داشت. لذا در این مطالعه سعی شده است تا چگونگی تأثیر ویروس کرونا (COVID -19) و قیمت نفت بر عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری در ایران با استفاده از داده های روزانه در دامنه زمانی 19 فوریه 2020 تا 20 نوامبر 2020 بررسی شود. نتایج مدل غیر خطیARDL نشان می دهد که موارد جدید COVID -19 و فوتی های جدید گزارش شده در ایران با عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری ایران در بلندمدت ارتباط مثبت و معناداری دارد. همچنین قیمت نفت بصورت شوک مثبت ومنفی، دارای ارتباط نامتقارن با عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری در بلندمدت می باشد. کلمات کلیدی: کووید 19؛ قیمت نفت؛ عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری ؛ کوتاه مدت؛ بلند مدت | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| کووید 19؛ قیمت نفت؛ عدم قطعیت سیاست گذاری؛ کوتاه مدت؛ بلند مدت | ||
| مراجع | ||
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