شناسایی سوگیری‌ها و تلنگرهای رفتاری در مدیریت بحران

 https://doi.org/10.22059/jipa.2024.373252.3479

References

Afzali, R. (2021). Political-Social Crises of Earthquakes in Iran. University of Tehran Press.(In Persian)

Akerlof, G. A., & Kranton, R. E. (2010). Identity economics. In Identity Economics. Princeton University Press.

Alhadad, S. S. J. (2018). Visualizing Data to Support Judgement, Inference, and Decision Making in Learning Analytics: Insights from Cognitive Psychology and Visualization Science. Journal of Learning Analytics, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2018.52.5

Allcott, H., & Sunstein, C. R. (2015). Regulating internalities. National Bureau of Economic Research.

Associated Press. (2023). The world’s deadliest earthquakes in the past 25 years, at a glance.

Bagheripour, M. H., & Saafizaadeh, M. (2019). Evaluation of peak ground acceleration for the city of Kerman through seismic hazard analysis. Scientia Iranica, 26(1), 257–272.

Baucells, M., Weber, M., & Welfens, F. (2011). Reference-Point Formation and Updating. Management Science, 57(3), 506–519. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1100.1286

Binns, C., & Low, W. Y. (2017). Nobel Prizes, Nudge Theory, and Public Health. Asia Pacific Journal of Public Health, 29(8), 632–634. https://doi.org/10.1177/1010539517743630

Boin, A., ’t Hart, P., Stern, E., & Sundelius, B. (2005). The Politics of Crisis Management. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511490880

Çakı, F., & Uzun, A. (2023). Perceptions and Practices of Disaster Governance in Countries with Long History of Centralized Administration: A Case Study of Balikesir Municipalities, Turkey (pp. 89–114). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-24541-1_5

Camerer, C. (1999). Behavioral economics: Reunifying psychology and economics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 96(19), 10575–10577. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.96.19.10575

Caponecchia, C. (2010). It Won’t Happen to Me: An Investigation of Optimism Bias in Occupational Health and Safety. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 40(3), 601–617. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1559-1816.2010.00589.x

Chang, B. Y. (2023). Assumptions in economic modelling: How behavioural economics can enlighten. In Handbook of Research Methods in Behavioural Economics (pp. 60–78). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781839107948.00009

Chitsazian, A., & Noruzi, M. (2022). Designing a Model of Public Behavior Change Tools in Behavioral Public Policy Based on Thoughts of Iranian Philosopher Martyr Ayatollah Morteza Motahari. Journal of Public Administration, 14, 388–423. https://doi.org/10.22059/JIPA.2022.333759.3053

Çoban, B., Scaparra, M. P., & O’Hanley, J. R. (2021). Use of OR in earthquake operations management: A review of the literature and roadmap for future research. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 65, 102539. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102539

Croson, R., & Sundali, J. (2005). The Gambler’s Fallacy and the Hot Hand: Empirical Data from Casinos. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 30(3), 195–209. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-005-1153-2

Danaeifard, H., Hosseini, Yaqoub, & Sheikhha, R. (2013). Q Methodology: Theoretical Foundations and Framework for Conducting Research. Saffar. (In Persian)

Dittmar, Helga., & Bond, Rod. (2010). I want it and I want it now: Using a temporal discounting paradigm to examine predictors of consumer impulsivity. British Journal of Psychology, 101(4), 751–776. https://doi.org/10.1348/000712609X484658

Dudley, S. E., & Xie, Z. (2022). Nudging the nudger: Toward a choice architecture for regulators. Regulation & Governance, 16(1), 261–273. https://doi.org/10.1111/rego.12329

Eberhard, K. (2023). The effects of visualization on judgment and decision-making: a systematic literature review. Management Review Quarterly, 73(1), 167–214. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11301-021-00235-8

Etkin, D. (1999). Risk transference and related trends: driving forces towards more mega-disasters. Environmental Hazards, 1(2), 69–75. https://doi.org/10.3763/ehaz.1999.0109

Farah, H. (2011). The role of city shape in reducing earthquake hazards, first edition, Tehran Azad University, Science and Research Branch. (In Persian)

Farazmand, A. (2007). Learning from the Katrina Crisis: A Global and International Perspective with Implications for Future Crisis Management. Public Administration Review, 67, 149–159. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2007.00824.x

Fatahyan S A. Strategics of improving management of seismic crisis in region 20 of Tehran. Disaster Prev. Manag. Know. 2016; 6 (1) :71-77 (In Persian)

Frerichs, S. (2022). Putting behavioural economics in its place: the new realism of law, economics and psychology and its alternatives. Northern Ireland Legal Quarterly, 72(4), 651–681. https://doi.org/10.53386/nilq.v72i4.920

Fujimi, T., & Tatano, H. (2013). Promoting Seismic Retrofit Implementation Through “Nudge”: Using Warranty as a Driver. Risk Analysis, n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12086

Ghadami, M. and Ghazi, I. (2023). Developing a strategic model for earthquake crisis management, targeting to minimize economic vulnerability; case study on district 22 of Tehran. Journal of Investment Knowledge, 12(48), 607-636. In Persian]

Gilles, F., Gressens, P., Dammann, O., & Leviton, A. (2018). Hypoxia-ischemia is not an antecedent of most preterm brain damage: the illusion of validity. Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology, 60(2), 120–125. https://doi.org/10.1111/dmcn.13483

Godefroy, V., Sezer, I., Bouzigues, A., Montembeault, M., Koban, L., Plassmann, H., & Migliaccio, R. (2023). Altered delay discounting in neurodegeneration: insight into the underlying mechanisms and perspectives for clinical applications. Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews, 146, 105048. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neubiorev.2023.105048

Godfrey, J., Rodgers, J., Jomo, J., & Stenner, H. (2021). GUIDELINES FOR DEVELOPING AN EARTHQUAKE SCENARIO. Earthquake Engineering Research Institute.

Halpern, D., & Sanders, M. (2016). Nudging by government: Progress, impact, & lessons learned. Behavioral Science & Policy, 2(2), 52–65. https://doi.org/10.1353/bsp.2016.0015

Hanlon, M., Yeung, K., & Zuo, L. (2022). Behavioral Economics of Accounting: A Review of Archival Research on Individual Decision Makers*. Contemporary Accounting Research, 39(2), 1150–1214. https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12739

Haunschild, J., Pauli, S., & Reuter, C. (2023). Preparedness nudging for warning apps? A mixed-method study investigating popularity and effects of preparedness alerts in warning apps. International Journal of Human-Computer Studies, 172, 102995. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhcs.2023.102995

Hausman, D. M., & Welch, B. (2010). Debate: To Nudge or Not to Nudge*. Journal of Political Philosophy, 18(1), 123–136. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9760.2009.00351.x

He, Z., Chen, H., Yan, H., Yin, Y., Qiu, Q., & Wang, T. (2021). Scenario-Based Comprehensive Assessment for Community Resilience Adapted to Fire Following an Earthquake, Implementing the Analytic Network Process and Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enriched Evaluation II Techniques. Buildings 2021, Vol. 11, Page 523, 11(11), 523. https://doi.org/10.3390/BUILDINGS11110523

Hilchey, M. D., & Soman, D. (2023). Demand for information about potential wins and losses: Does it matter if information matters? Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2322

Hume, S., John, P., Sanders, M., & Stockdale, E. (2023). Compliance to behavioural messages during crisis Manuscript Title: Nudge in the time of coronavirus: Compliance to behavioural messages during crisis Author(s) and affiliation(s). https://ssrn.com/abstract=3644165

John, P., Cotterill, S., Richardson, L., Moseley, A., Smith, G., Stoker, G., Wales, C., Liu, H., & Nomura, H. (2013). Nudge, nudge, think, think: Experimenting with ways to change civic behaviour. A&C Black.

Kagel, J. H., & Winkler, R. C. (1972). BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS: AREAS OF COOPERATIVE RESEARCH BETWEEN ECONOMICS AND APPLIED BEHAVIORAL ANALYSIS 1. Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 5(3), 335–342. https://doi.org/10.1901/jaba.1972.5-335

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (2013). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. In Handbook of the fundamentals of financial decision making: Part I (pp. 99–127). World Scientific.

Karwowski, J., Mańdziuk, J., & Żychowski, A. (2023). Sequential Stackelberg Games with bounded rationality. Applied Soft Computing, 132, 109846. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2022.109846

Kazemi, R. and Porhemmat, J. (2021). An Analysis of the factors Affecting Flooding Severity in Iran. Watershed Management Research, 34(1), 59-73. doi: https://10.22092/wmej.2020.342597.1330 (In Persian)

Ladi, S., & Tsarouhas, D. (2020). EU economic governance and Covid-19: policy learning and windows of opportunity. Journal of European Integration, 42(8), 1041–1056. https://doi.org/10.1080/07036337.2020.1852231

Lead, T. C. I. (2018). Behavioural insights.

Lehmann-Waffenschmidt, M., & Erkut, B. (2018). PUTTING THE’MENTAL’INTO THE GOVERNMENTAL: HOW CAN NUDGES IMPROVE SHOCK COPING? New Perspectives on Political Economy, 14.

Lei, W., Hu, S., & Hsu, C. (2023). Unveiling the process of phishing precautions taking: The moderating role of optimism bias. Computers & Security, 129, 103249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cose.2023.103249

Liscow, Z. D., & Markovits, D. (2022). Democratizing Behavioral Economics. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4012996

Llopis, J. na, Perge, E., Zeina, A., Claudia Soto, O., & Jessica, H. (2023). USING BEHAVIORAL INSIGHTS TO IMPROVE DISASTER PREPAREDNESS, EARLY WARNING AND RESPONSE MECHANISMS IN HAITI.

Lundin, M. (2007). When Does Cooperation Improve Public Policy Implementation? Policy Studies Journal, 35(4), 629–652. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0072.2007.00240.x

Mayo, A. T. (2020). Teamwork in a pandemic: Insights from management research. BMJ Leader, 4(2), 53–56. https://doi.org/10.1136/LEADER-2020-000246

Metwally, A. (2023). The Effect of Overconfidence Bias on Investors Decisions in the Egyptian Stock Market: The Role of Information Acquisition. Journal of Alexandria University for Administrative Sciences, 60(2), 47-85. doi: https://10.21608/acj.2023.294144

Mirbabaie, M., Ehnis, C., Stieglitz, S., Bunker, D., & Rose, T. (2021). Digital Nudging in Social Media Disaster Communication. Information Systems Frontiers, 23(5), 1097–1113. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10796-020-10062-z

Mullainathan, S., & Thaler, R. (2000). Behavioral Economics. https://doi.org/10.3386/w7948

Namandje, T. N., & Sheefeni, J. P. S. (2023). Embedding Behavioral Insights into COVID-19 Policy: Responses that are Relevant for Namibia and Africa. Interdisciplinary Journal of Economics and Business Law, 12(1), 67–78.

Nik raftar, T. (2019). Q method and its application in a case study. Knowledge perspective. (In Persian)

Nili Ahmadabadi, M., Aghakouchak, A., Ahmadi, H., Ardalan, A., & Thaqefian, B. (2019). Report on the response to the President's questions regarding the floods of 2019-2020 in Iran. (In Persian)

OECD. (2017). Behavioural Insights and Public Policy. OECD. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264270480-en

Oehler, A., & Reisch, L. A. (2008). Behavioral Economics-eine neue Grundlage für Verbraucherpolitik? Eine Studie im Auftrag des Verbraucherzentrale Bundesverbandes verfasst von. www.vzbv.de

Ogaki, M., & Tanaka, S. C. (2017). What Is Behavioral Economics? (pp. 3–22). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6439-5_1

Ohtake, F. (2022). Can nudges save lives? The Japanese Economic Review, 73(2), 245–268. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42973-021-00095-7

Ohtake, F., Sakata, K., & Matsuo, Y. (2020). Early Evacuation Promotion Nudges for Heavy Rain Disasters (Japanese). Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.11167/jbef.13.71

Padilla, L. M., Creem-Regehr, S. H., Hegarty, M., & Stefanucci, J. K. (2018). Decision making with visualizations: a cognitive framework across disciplines. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications, 3(1), 29. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-018-0120-9

Paraschiv, C., & Chenavaz, R. (2011). Sellers’ and Buyers’ Reference Point Dynamics in the Housing Market. Housing Studies, 26(3), 329–352. https://doi.org/10.1080/02673037.2011.542095

Parnell, J. A., & Crandall, W. ‘Rick.’ (2020). The contribution of behavioral economics to crisis management decision-making. Journal of Management & Organization, 26(4), 585–600. https://doi.org/10.1017/jmo.2017.60

Parnell, J. A., & Dent, E. B. (2009). Philosophy, Ethics, and Capitalism: An Interview With BB&T Chairman John Allison. Academy of Management Learning & Education, 8(4), 587–596. https://doi.org/10.5465/amle.8.4.zqr587

Paulus, D., Fathi, R., Fiedrich, F., de Walle, B. Van, & Comes, T. (2024). On the Interplay of Data and Cognitive Bias in Crisis Information Management. Information Systems Frontiers, 26(2), 391–415. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10796-022-10241-0

Pérez, A. (2022). Behavioral Economics: Theoretical Conception to Understand Economic Behavior. ESPOCH Congresses: The Ecuadorian Journal of S.T.E.A.M., 372–393. https://doi.org/10.18502/espoch.v2i2.11403

Petruccelli, N., Domeneghetti, A., Marinelli, L., Molino, M. C., & Brath, A. (2023). Development, application and validation of a flood damage model for multi-year crops (vineyards and orchards). EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, EGU-12202.

Pixley, J. (2010). The use of risk in understanding financial decisions and institutional uncertainty. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 39(2), 209–222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socec.2009.12.002

Poshtpanah, Amir. (1401). Study and review of crisis management in urban disasters with an earthquake approach and presenting suggested solutions. Scientific Journal of Modern Research Approaches in Management and Accounting, 6(23). (In Persian)

Reisch, L. A. (2023). Behavioral economics. In Dictionary of Ecological Economics (pp. 26–27). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781788974912.B.5

Rodgers, J. (2022). Guidelines for Developing an Earthquake Scenario. EERI, United States.

Sarmiento Barletti, J. P., Cronkleton, P., & Heise Vigil, N. (2022). Using Q-methodology to bridge different understandings on community forest management: lessons from the Peruvian Amazon. Ecology and Society, 27(4), art12. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-13524-270412

Sayah-Mofadzli, A. (2016). Studying the position of foresight and futures studies in urban crisis management. (In Persian)

Scott, W. R., & Davis, G. F. (2015). Organizations and organizing: Rational, natural and open systems perspectives. Routledge.

Shaikh Baikloo Islam, B. (2021). Evidence and consequences of the flood in Iran from prehistory to the present. Water and Soil Management and Modelling, 1(1), 24-40. doi: https://10.22098/mmws.2021.1173 (In Persian)

Shen, C., Lei, B., Lu, C., & Zhou, F. (2023). Research on the effectiveness of online food safety supervision under the existence of settled enterprises’ myopic cognitive bias. Heliyon, 9(1), e12784. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e12784

Siegel, R., Gordon, K., & Dynan, L. (2021). Behavioral Economics: A Primer and Applications to the UN Sustainable Development Goal of Good Health and Well-Being. Reports, 4(2), 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/reports4020016

Simon, H. A. (1955). A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884852

Sunstein, C. R. (2012). The Storrs Lectures: Behavioral Economics and Paternalism. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2182619

Sunstein, C. R. (2015). The ethics of nudging. Yale J. on Reg., 32, 413.

Sunstein, C. R. (2020). Behavioral science and public policy. Cambridge University Press.

Takubo, M., Sugiura, M., Ishibashi, R., Miura, N., & Tanabe-Ishibashi, A. (2024). A Risk-Scrutinizing Attitude is Independent of Risk-Sensitive Attitude and May Hamper a Proper Protective Response: A Tsunami Simulation Experiment. Journal of Disaster Research, 19(1), 81–93. https://doi.org/10.20965/jdr.2024.p0081

Teschendorf, V. S. (2022). The role of German media and the (European) public sphere: Framing biases of the press using the example of the Italian sovereign debt crisis 2018. Journalism, 146488492211452. https://doi.org/10.1177/14648849221145225

Thaler, R. H. (2018). Nudge, not sludge. Science, 361(6401), 431–431. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aau9241

Thaler, R. H., & Sunstein, C. R. (2009). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. Penguin.

Thürmer, J. L., Wieber, F., & Gollwitzer, P. M. (2020). Management in times of crisis: Can collective plans prepare teams to make and implement good decisions? In Management Decision (Vol. 58, Issue 10, pp. 2155–2176). Emerald Group Holdings Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-08-2020-1088

UNISDR. (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015 - 2030.

Vaezi, S. K. and Hosseini, M. (2024). Investigating the Feasibility of Behavioral Nudges to Reduce the Phenomenon of Escape from Responsibility in Public Sector. Journal of Public Administration, 16(2), 221-248. doi: https://10.22059/jipa.2024.373252.3479 (In Persian)

Vaezi, S. K. , Dargahi, S. , Anvari, Z. and Ali Esfahani, Z. (2023). Behavioral Nudges and Public Policy; Implications to Overcome Policy Makers Biases. Journal of Public Administration, 15(1), 41-66. doi: https://10.22059/jipa.2023.350572.3236 (In Persian)

Wang, J., He, Z., & Weng, W. (2020). A review of the research into the relations between hazards in multi-hazard risk analysis. Natural Hazards, 104(3), 2003–2026. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04259-3

Weinstein, N. D. (1980). Unrealistic optimism about future life events. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39(5), 806.

Whelan, R., & McHugh, L. A. (2009). Temporal Discounting of Hypothetical Monetary Rewards by Adolescents, Adults, and Older Adults. The Psychological Record, 59(2), 247–258. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03395661

Xie, L., Xu, W., Ding, X., Bürgmann, R., Giri, S., & Liu, X. (2022). A multi-platform, open-source, and quantitative remote sensing framework for dam-related hazard investigation: Insights into the 2020 Sardoba dam collapse. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 111, 102849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2022.102849

Yari A, Ardalan A, Ostadtaghizadeh A. Demographic analysis of flood deaths in Iran from 2002 to 2018: a case-control study. ijhe 2024; 16 (4) :669-686
URL: http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6793-fa.html (In Persian)

Yarritu, I., Matute, H., & Vadillo, M. A. (2014). Illusion of Control. Experimental Psychology, 61(1), 38–47. https://doi.org/10.1027/1618-3169/a000225

Yin, H., Chen, J., & Michel-Kerjan, E. (2016). Availability Heuristic and Gambler’s Fallacy over Time in a Natural Disaster Insurance Choice Setting. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2798371